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The Adequacy of Pharmacist Supply: 2004 to 2030

December 2008

DHHS, Health Resources and Services Administration
Lewin contact: Tim Dall

The Lewin Group and Altarum Institute recently completed a study for the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services on the future adequacy of supply of pharmacists. A previous Health Resources and Services Administration (2000) report documented the current and growing shortfall of pharmacists. Since release of that report the U.S. Bureau of the Census revised upward its projections of population growth, the Federal Government enacted the Medicare Part D program which expands prescription drug coverage to more elderly; technology continued to advance, minimum credentials for entry into the workforce for new pharmacists changed from baccalaureate to doctorate degrees, the Nation’s educational capacity to train new pharmacists and pharmacy technicians continued to expand and enrollment in schools of pharmacy has been at an all time high, and the role of pharmacists in providing care to patients continued to evolve. The Lewin Group and Altarum revised HRSA's Pharmacist Supply and Requirements Model (PhSRM) to examine current and projected future adequacy of pharmacist supply in the United States taking into account trends in the latest supply and demand determinants.

The overall findings are that the supply of pharmacists is growing significantly faster than was previously projected, but the demand for pharmacists continues to grow rapidly due in large part to population growth and aging. There is currently a moderate shortfall of pharmacists. The overall conclusion of this study is that the Nation has responded to earlier predictions of a growing shortfall of pharmacists, and to market forces that have raised pharmacist earnings, by expanding supply and increasing the use of technology and technicians. Still, the increase in supply will only be sufficient to keep pace with a rising demand due to changing demographics. Supply would need to increase further than currently projected to meet the demand caused by growth in per capita consumption of pharmaceuticals. Improvements in productivity through further employment of pharmacy aides and technicians and the application of evolving technologies should continue to help the supply meet these increases in demand.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Key Features of Colorado Works in Comparison to Other State TANF Programs

April 2008

Colorado Department of Human Services

The enactment of the 1996 Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act (PRWORA) provided states with considerable flexibility to design their own welfare programs.  The result was an increase in the variation between states’ welfare programs.  In an effort to understand how Colorado’s TANF program compares to other programs across the country, the Colorado Department of Human Services (CDHS) commissioned The Lewin Group and its partners—the University of Colorado’s Health Sciences Center (UCHSC), the Johns Hopkins University’s Institute for Policy Studies (JHU), and Capital Research Corporation (CRC)—to perform an in-depth study of Colorado’s TANF program (Colorado Works) on a variety of different dimensions.  This report examines how Colorado compares with other states on dimensions such as caseload changes, program expenditures, eligibility requirements and benefits, work requirements, financial incentives to work, sanctions, work participation rates, employment outcomes, and diversion policies.

Client Area: State and Local Governments
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development, Income Security

A Framework for Continuous Evaluation of Office of Refugee Resettlement Formula Programs Supporting Employability Services

March 2008

DHHS, Administration for Children and Families, Office of Refugee Resettlement

An extension of The Lewin Group’s evaluation of two federally-funded employability programs serving refugees resettled in the U.S., this report outlines ways that the Office of Refugee Resettlement (ORR) can better plan for and institutionalize evaluation and accountability throughout the range of refugee resettlement programs. It presents a variety of options ORR might consider to enhance its existing performance management activities and proposes experimental and non-experimental evaluations of selected service strategies.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

The Evaluation of the Refugee Social Service (RSS) and Targeted Assistance Formula Grant (TAG) Programs: Houston Case Study

March 2008

DHHS, Administration for Children and Families, Office of Refugee Resettlement

One of three case studies from The Lewin Group’s evaluation of two federally-funded employability programs serving refugees resettled in the U.S., this report presents findings from interviews with service providers, focus groups with program participants, and analysis of administrative, programmatic, and survey data on refugees served in Houston, Texas. The study focused on refugees who entered the country between 2000 and 2004 and received RSS or TAG services at some point in Houston, which settled a large, diverse, and frequently changing refugee population. Themes emerging from this case study include Houston’s emphasis on rapid employment, driven in part by the relatively low TANF benefits offered in the state, the necessity of understanding newly arriving refugees’ cultural experiences when providing services to a changing population, and the special challenges facing refugees from Somalia and Liberia, who arrived with very low educational attainment. The report also presents employment, income, and public assistance outcomes of service recipients.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development, Income Security

The Evaluation of the Refugee Social Service (RSS) and Targeted Assistance Formula Grant (TAG) Programs: Miami Case Study

March 2008

DHHS, Administration for Children and Families, Office of Refugee Resettlement

One of three case studies from The Lewin Group’s evaluation of two federally-funded employability programs serving refugees resettled in the U.S., this report presents findings from interviews with service providers, focus groups with program participants, and analysis of administrative, programmatic, and survey data on refugees served in Miami, Florida. The study focused on refugees, asylees, and related populations who entered the country between 2000 and 2004 and received RSS or TAG services at some point in Miami, including primarily Cubans, Colombians, and Haitians. Themes emerging from this case study include the role of Miami’s extensive network of experienced service providers and community support for arrivals; the strong focus on employment in refugee services; the relatively high education level of refugees served in Miami; the importance of bi-lingual Spanish and English skills; and special challenges facing the Haitian population The report also presents employment, income, and public assistance outcomes of service recipients.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development, Income Security

The Evaluation of the Refugee Social Service (RSS) and Targeted Assistance Formula Grant (TAG) Programs: Sacramento Case Study

March 2008

DHHS, Administration for Children and Families, Office of Refugee Resettlement

One of three case studies from The Lewin Group’s evaluation of two federally-funded employability programs serving refugees resettled in the U.S., this report presents findings from interviews with service providers, focus groups with program participants, and analysis of administrative, programmatic, and survey data on refugees served in Sacramento, California. The study focused on refugees who entered the country between 2000 and 2004 and received RSS or TAG services at some point in Sacramento, including primarily refugees from countries in the former Soviet Union and Hmong arriving in 2004. Themes emerging from this case study include Sacramento’s strong emphasis on English language training as a component of employability services; the use of on-the-job training by several service providers as a tool for moving refugees into permanent employment; and the importance of the welfare system in understanding the context in which the refugee employability programs operate. The report also presents employment, income, and public assistance outcomes of service recipients.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development, Income Security

The Evaluation of the Refugee Social Service (RSS) and Targeted Assistance Formula Grant (TAG) Programs: Synthesis of Findings from Three Sites

March 2008

DHHS, Administration for Children and Families, Office of Refugee Resettlement

This report summarizes findings from The Lewin Group’s evaluation of the Refugee Social Service (RSS) and Targeted Assistance Formula Grant (TAG) programs. The Office of Refugee Resettlement (ORR) administers these programs and sponsored an evaluation to assess how program services are delivered and how refugees who receive them fare over time. RSS and TAG services aim at helping refugees overcome barriers to employment and integration into the United States. The study focuses on refugees in three sites—Houston, Miami, and Sacramento—who entered the country between 2000 and 2004. It relies on administrative and programmatic data, a survey of refugees, and information collected through interviews with service providers and focus groups with program participants. The study documents differences across the sites with regard to which refugee groups they served, the approaches taken for delivering services, and the emphasis placed on ESL instruction versus rapid employment. The report also presents employment, income, and public assistance outcomes of service recipients.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development, Income Security

Understanding Program Participation: Findings from the Colorado Works Evaluation

December 2007

Colorado Department of Human Services

The Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 (DRA) reauthorized the TANF program and made policy changes that increased the effective work participation rates that states must meet to avoid a financial penalty. In Colorado, counties have been reassessing strategies to meet federal requirements while still providing services and benefits to clients that best help them to meet their immediate needs and overcome barriers to longer-term self-sufficiency. This report examines three related topics affecting participation and engagement in Colorado’s TANF program. They are: (1) Work participation activities and strategies; (2) Diversion policies among Colorado’s counties; and (3) Sanctioning practices in Colorado.

Client Area: State and Local Governments
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development, Income Security

Entry-Level Employers in Colorado: Results from a Survey of 25 Employers

August 2007

Colorado Department of Human Services

The purpose of this study is to examine Colorado employers’ experiences with welfare recipients they have hired for low-skill, entry-level jobs. The research gathers information on the characteristics of employers and the low-skill workforce, employer hiring practices, staffing needs, overall employer satisfaction, and employer feedback on county Colorado Works offices and workforce centers operated under local Workforce Investment Boards.  The survey provides information about the extent to which the Colorado Works program and the clients are able to meet employer needs.

Client Area: State and Local Governments
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development, Income Security

Employment Services and Employer Interaction in Colorado Works Programs

June 2006

Colorado Department of Human Services

This report describes employment services in local Colorado Works programs, particularly strategies that involve interaction with employers and industries, highlighting promising practices for other programs. It finds that the most common employment-specific activities in Colorado counties are (1) job readiness workshops that generally include some guided job search activity, and (2) work experience activities.  It also finds that counties generally tailor their employment services to local labor market trends, working with both public and nonprofit agencies as well as private sector business when possible.  Finally, several county programs are found to have developed large and formal networks of employers for such employment activities which may serve as a model for other counties.

Client Area: State and Local Governments
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development, Income Security

Program Coordination and Collaboration in the Colorado Works Program

June 2006

Colorado Department of Human Services

This report examines the variety of cross-agency collaboration and coordination strategies used by county Colorado Works/TANF programs across the state. Based primarily upon information collected during site visits to 18 Colorado Works county programs, this report focuses on collaborative arrangements in two major areas: (1) partnerships with local Workforce Centers and other community organizations to obtain employment, education, and training services; and (2) collaboration with other public agencies and private organizations to obtain a wide array of support services.  The report finds that program coordination is extensive and that there is wide variation in the network of collaboration across Colorado counties.

Client Area: State and Local Governments
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development, Income Security

Serving the Hard-To-Employ in Colorado

June 2006

Colorado Department of Human Services

This report examines strategies Colorado counties were using to serve the hard-to-employ TANF population in 2005, highlighting promising approaches that counties might choose to adopt and providing  the state with useful information that can help guide future policy choices. While there are a wide range of issues that affect welfare recipients’ ability to succeed in the job market, this report focuses on seven barriers: 1) Physical disabilities; 2) Limited education and learning disabilities; 3) Mental health; 4) Substance abuse; 5) Domestic violence; 6) Limited English skills; and 7) Homelessness.

Client Area: State and Local Governments
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development, Income Security

Multiple Work Supports and Services May Help Low-Wage Workers Climb the Economic Ladder

December 2004

Research Forum

Written for the Research Forum, an initiative of the National Center for Children in Poverty (NCCP) at the Mailman School of Public Health of Columbia University, this article provides a short introduction to the literature on employment retention and advancement strategies and describes a group of interventions being tested in a national evaluation.

Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Impacts of Washington State's WorkFirst Post-Employment Labor Exchange

June 2003

Washington State Employment Security Department

Washington State implemented its WorkFirst Post-Employment Labor Exchange (WPLEX) in 1998 to provide post-employment services through a centralized call center. Staff contact individuals to provide them with guidance on career advancement, tips on specific job opportunities in the customer's labor market, vouchers for certain support services, and referral to social services and education providers. Washington's Employment Security Department hired The Lewin Group and its subcontractor, Cornell University, to conduct an evaluation of WPLEX. This report presents an overview of the program, an in-depth examination of the program's implementation and costs, and analysis of the effectiveness of WPLEX in moving individuals from welfare to work.

Client Area: State and Local Governments
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Evaluation Design for the Ticket to Work Program: Preliminary Process Evaluation

March 2003

Social Security Administration

This report presents findings from the preliminary process evaluation of the Ticket to Work program (TTW), a program established by the 1999 Ticket to Work and Work Incentives Improvement Act (Ticket Act), designed to increase access to, and the quality of, rehabilitation and employment services available to Social Security disability beneficiaries. TTW incorporates the cost-reimbursement payment system that SSA has used in the past to pay state vocational rehabilitation agencies (SVRAs) for rehabilitation services provided to beneficiaries, provided that the beneficiary obtains earnings of at least the substantial gainful activity (SGA) level for nine months. Added to this performance-based system are two new payment systems with substantially stronger performance incentives, that can be used by either SVRAs or other qualified organizations, called Employment Networks (ENs): the outcome and milestone-outcome payment systems. Under both new systems, beneficiaries must exit cash benefit status on the disability rolls by reason of increased earnings for 60 months for SVRAs and ENs to receive full payment. The outcome payment system potentially pays more, but requires cash benefits to be zero before any payments are made, while the milestone-outcome system provides early payments based on achievement of earnings targets, even if cash benefits are never reduced to zero. SVRAs and ENs must each choose one of the two new payment systems, but SVRAs can also elect to use cost reimbursement on a case-by-case basis. The report is based on in-person and phone interviews conducted with staff from: SSA; MAXIMUS, the contractor hired to be TTW's Program Manager (PM); and 27 ENs and the 13 SVRAs serving beneficiaries in the 13 states that participated in Phase 1 of the TTW rollout: Arizona, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Iowa, Massachusetts, New York, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Carolina, Vermont, and Wisconsin. We also reviewed numerous documents and conducted limited analyses of administrative data. The data for this report was collected and synthesized during the July through November 2002 period, and thus, with a few exceptions, represent the status of TTW as of that time.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Unemployment Insurance Non-Monetary Policies and Practices: How Do They Affect Program Participation? A Study of 8 States

January 2003

Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration

This report explores the relationship between non-monetary eligibility policies and practices and program outcomes, such as recipiency and benefit duration. Information is collected on state non-monetary eligibility legislation, policies, and practices for unemployment insurance (UI) programs in a sample of states to document across-state variation that may affect UI recipiency. Research indicates that much of the state-level variation is due to policies, practices, and processes that are not easility captured by administrative data. Thus many of the questions explored during site visits to eight states focus on how UI operates at the ground level and how variation in UI operations helps explain some of the variation in program outcomes across states.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Evaluation Design for the Ticket to Work Program: Preliminary Report on Evaluation Design

August 2002

Social Security Administration

The Ticket to Work program (TTW) was established by the 1999 Ticket to Work and Work Incentives Improvement Act (Ticket Act). The program will provide eligible Social Security Disability Insurance and Supplemental Security Income disability beneficiaries with a Ticket, which can be used to obtain vocational rehabilitation or employment services through an Employment Network. The program is intended to increase access to, and the quality of, rehabilitation and employment services available to disability beneficiaries. TTW is designed to provide beneficiaries with greater freedom and choice of service providers, create competition among providers to provide high quality services that are responsive to beneficiary needs, and give providers incentives to deliver services in the most efficient and appropriate manner to achieve desired outcomes. The Social Security Administration (SSA) contracted with The Lewin Group to design a comprehensive evaluation of TTW. The Lewin Group teamed with Cornell University, Westat, and a number of independent consultants to conduct the project. The evaluation design developed under this project specifies the methods to be used to compare the net outcomes of TTW to outcomes under the current system, including level of benefits received by beneficiaries, work participation, earnings, duration of benefit receipt, and departures from the disability rolls. The evaluation was also designed to assess the total and net costs of the program, characteristics of ENs and beneficiaries who do and do not participate, factors that affect return to work, employment outcomes for participants, and beneficiary satisfaction with the program.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Research on Employment Supports for People with Disabilities: The Role of Health Insurance in Successful Labor Force Entry and Retention

December 2001

DHHS, Office of the Assistance Secretary for Planning and Evaluation (ASPE)
Lewin contact: Mike Fishman

This paper provides a summary of the health insurance issues affecting employment of people with disabilities, including a discussion of the current programs and policies that are available. It presents findings from focus groups conducted with individuals with disabilities who have achieved a reasonable measure of employment success. The focus groups provided information about the extent to which access to health care influenced employment decisions of participants, and about various strategies participants employed for securing access both to employment and needed health care.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Research on Employment Supports for People with Disabilities: The Role of Supports in Successful Labor Force Entry for Youth with Disabilities

September 2001

DHHS, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation (ASPE)

This report summarizes the findings from information collected during three sets of focus groups conducted for a study on employment supports for people with disabilities. The study was intended to increase the understanding of the role of various supports in helping people with disabilities find and maintain employment.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

How Well Have Rural and Small Metropolitan Labor Markets Absorbed Welfare Recipients?

April 2001

DHHS, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation (ASPE)

This report examines the impact of welfare reform on 12 rural and small metropolitan areas around the county. It identifies changes in wages and employment for the low-skill labor force over two periods - 1993 to 1996, and 1996 to 1998 - to determine the effect of the movement of welfare recipients to work.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Employing Welfare Recipients with Significant Barriers to Work: Lessons from the Disability Field

October 2000

Annie E. Casey Foundation

This report reviews the disability literature in order to examine the disability community's efforts to help individuals with significant disabilities access and maintain employment; and identify how welfare agencies can learn from and build upon lessons from the disability community. The report highlights strategies for increasing employment among people with disabilities, reviews the use of cash and in-kind supports to increase employment, outlines what is known about transitional services for persons with disabilities, and summarizes the key lessons for the TANF community.

Client Area: Foundations
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Success in the New Welfare Environment: An Assessment of Approaches in HUD's Employment and Training Initiatives

March 2000

US Department of Housing and Urban Development

Interest in work and self-sufficiency among welfare recipients was heightened among government officials, social service providers, academics, and the general public when Congress enacted the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act (PWRORA), which changed the focus of the welfare system from income support to work. One agency affected by welfare reform is the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). The transformation of the welfare system presented HUD with an important opportunity to conduct a preliminary assessment of its programs. As a result, HUD contracted with ICF Consulting and the Lewin Group to review the employment and training components of 13 HUD programs. This study assessed HUD's efforts to help residents transition from welfare to work. The study focuses on the following questions: What are the specific service components of HUD employment and training programs? To what extent are the practices consistent with the research on the effectiveness of those service approaches? What is the nature of the linkages between the HUD programs and the programs being provided through the larger human services and employment and training systems in the community?

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Employment Retention and Advancement Project: Conference Proceedings November 18-19, 1999

February 2000

DHHS, Administration for Children and Families (ACF)

This report contains the proceedings of a meeting held November 18-19, 1999 on the Administration for Children and Families' (ACF) Employment Retention and Advancement grant program. Attending the meeting were representatives from the ACF, 12 of the 13 states that received grants for the Employment Retention and Advancement project, The Lewin Group, the Manpower Demonstration Research Corporation along with other staff from the Department of Health and Human Services, researchers, and members of the welfare community. The purpose of the meeting was to share information on each state's demonstration plans and to engage in working sessions that would help each state further define these plans.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Employment Retention and Advancement Project: Program Design Manual

December 1999

DHHS, Administration for Children and Families

The Program Design Manual is the one of a series of products developed by The Lewin Group, under contract to the Administration for Children and Families, to assist states to design program strategies for promoting the employment retention and advancement of TANF recipients. The manual provides states with a step-by-step process for thinking through goals, target populations, and strategies they might include in their program plans. The manual also provides helpful guidance with regard to issues related to the evaluation of these programs. ACF has a major initiative underway to identify sites for an experimental evaluation of employment retention and advancement programs. States interested in participating in that evaluation will find the manual helpful in thinking through their plans. States who are not interested in the evaluation but are planning initiatives in this area should find the manual helpful in thinking through their design options as well.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Employment Retention and Advancement Project: Conference Proceedings June 3-4, 1999 Washington, D.C.

September 1999

DHHS, Administration for Children and Families (ACF)

This report contains the proceedings of a meeting held June 3-4, 1999 on the Administration for Children and Families' (ACF) Employment Retention and Advancement grant program. Attending the meeting were representatives from the ACF, the 13 states that received grants for the Employment Retention and Advancement project, and The Lewin Group, along with other staff from the Department of Health and Human Services, researchers, and members of the welfare community. The purpose of the meeting was to share information on each state's demonstration plans and to engage in working sessions that would help each state further define these plans.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Job Retention and Advancement Among Welfare Recipients: Challenges and Opportunities: Research Synthesis

January 1999

DHHS, Administration for Children and Families (ACF)

Interest in job retention and advancement among welfare recipients was heightened among government officials, social service providers, academics, and the general public when Congress enacted Public Law 104-193 on August 22, 1996. The Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act changed the focus of the welfare system from income support to work. There has been considerable research to date on a number of welfare-related issues including the duration of welfare spells, characteristics that are associated with long spells, and the impacts of demonstration programs that attempt to help women avoid dependency. But despite numerous evaluations, there is limited information available on the effectiveness of programs and services designed to help welfare recipients retain and advance in jobs. To help build knowledge about how best to help welfare recipients sustain employment and advance in the labor market, the Administration for Children and Families (ACF) issued planning grants to 13 states. The Employment Retention and Advancement Project is designed to help states implement and refine their employment, retention, and advancement strategies. At the request of ACF, The Lewin Group compiled a summary of the research on the employment patterns of welfare recipients and services that have attempted to help recipients remain in jobs and advance in the labor market.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

Proceedings from the ACF Job Retention and Advancement Project State Meeting: Washington, D.C. November 12-13, 1998

January 1999

DHHS, Administration for Children and Families

This report contains the proceedings of a meeting held November 12-13, 1998 on the Administration for Children and Families' (ACF) Employment Retention and Advancement grant program. Attending the meeting were representatives of the ACF, the 13 states that received grants for the Employment Retention and Advancement project, and The Lewin Group, along with other staff from the Department of Health and Human Services, researchers, and members of the welfare community. The purpose of the meeting was to share information on each state's demonstration plans and the latest research regarding retention and advancement.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Employment, Training, and Workforce Development

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