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The Economic Value of Professional Nursing

December 2008

American Nurses Association
Lewin contact: Tim Dall

For the American Nurses Association, The Lewin Group synthesized findings from the literature on the relationship between registered nurse staffing levels and nursing-sensitive patient outcomes in acute care hospitals. Using hospital discharge data to estimate incidence and cost of these patient outcomes together with productivity measures, Lewin estimated the economic implications of changes in registered nurse staffing levels.  The study is published in the January 2009 issue of Medical Care.

Client Area: Associations
Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

The United States Rheumatology Workforce: Supply and Demand, 2005-2025

March 2007

American College of Rheumatology
Lewin contact: Paul Hogan

Lewin was engaged by the American College of Rheumatology to prepare projections of the supply of and the demand for rheumatologists.  The results of the study were published in the March 2007 issue of the journal Arthritis & Rheumatism.

Client Area: Associations
Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

Physician Supply and Demand: Projections to 2020

October 2006

DHHS, Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA)
Lewin contact: Tim Dall

This paper presents projections of physician supply and requirements for 18 physician specialties using the Physician Supply Model and the Physician Requirements Model developed for the Health Resources and Services Administration by The Lewin Group and the Altarum Institute. The paper describes the data, assumptions and methods used to project the future supply of and requirements for physician services; presents projections from these models under alternative scenarios; and discusses the implications of these projections for the future adequacy of physician supply.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

Report to Congress: The Critical Care Workforce: A Study of the Supply and Demand for Critical Care Physicians

May 2006

DHHS, Health Resources and Services Administration
Lewin contact: Tim Dall

The Lewin Group assisted the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Health Resources and Services Administration respond to a Congressional request to examine the adequacy of the critical care workforce. Using findings from the literature, original research, and projections from the Physician Supply Model and Physician Demand Model, this report examines the current and future supply of critical care physicians (intensivists); the major factors and trends affecting the demand for their services; and the likely inadequacy of their numbers through 2020.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

What is Behind HRSA's Projected Supply, Demand, and Shortage of Registered Nurses?

September 2004

DHHS, Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA), National Center for Workforce Analysis
Lewin contact: Tim Dall

This paper provides a brief overview of the Nursing Supply Model and the Nursing Demand Model; describes the data, methods, and assumptions used to project RN supply and demand; presents findings from the models; and discusses the limitations of these and other models and methods to forecast demand for health workers.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

Financial Model for Sustaining Family Medicine and Primary Care Practices

July 2004

Future of Family Medicine Task Force Six
Lewin contact: John Sheils

The Lewin Group was retained by the Future of Family Medicine (FFM) Task Force Six to assist in developing a financial and reimbursement system for a New Model of Family Medicine (NMFM). Through a series of five task forces, the FFM project identified the core values of family medicine and developed a new model of practice. In this paper, The Lewin Group considers the financial implications of the NMFM. We conducted two types of analyses. First, we simulated the impact of the NMFM on a family physician practice's revenues and costs within the current fee-for-service reimbursement environment. Second, we evaluated alternative reimbursement mechanisms conducive to the NMFM.

Client Area: Associations
Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

Assessing the Effectiveness of Alternative Options to Address the Nursing Shortage: Conference Presentation

June 2004

Lewin contact: Tim Dall

Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

Changing Demographics and the Implications for Physicians, Nurses, and Other Health Workers: Conference Presentation

June 2004

Lewin contact: Tim Dall

Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

Innovations in Health Workforce Modeling: Conference Presentation

June 2004

Lewin contact: Tim Dall

Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

Physician Retirement Intentions and Trends: Implications for Supply: Conference Presentation

June 2004

Lewin contact: Tim Dall

Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

Projected Supply and Demand for Physicians: Conference Presentation

June 2004

Lewin contact: Tim Dall

Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

The Nursing Shortage: Projecting the Adequacy of the Future Supply of RNs: Conference Presentation

June 2004

Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

Changing Demographics: Implications for Physicians, Nurses, and Other Health Workers

April 2003

DHHS, Health Resources and Services Administration

This report, prepared by The Lewin Group for HRSA, analyzes the health workforce implications of a growing and aging population that is also becoming more racially and ethnically diversity. In addition to an extensive literature review, the report presents findings from The Physician Aggregate Requirements Model (PARM) quantifying the expected increase in percentage of physicians' time spent treating elderly and minority patients. These findings have implications for the types of work physicians will be providing in future years (e.g., relatively more cardiology and less pediatric work), and the increased importance of providing culturally competent care as minorities become a larger share of total patients. At the same time that the U.S. population is aging and demanding more healthcare services, the health workforce is aging with significant numbers of physicians and nurses nearing traditional retirement age. The aging population and other societal trends have implications for where patients will receive healthcare services--such as a greater reliance on professional nursing and less reliance on informal care provided by family members.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

A Study of the Workforce in Emergency Medicine: 1999

July 2002

American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP)
Lewin contact: Paul Hogan

This study, commissioned by the American College of Emergency Physicians,  provides estimates of the total number of physicians practicing clinical emergency medicine during a specified period, describes certain characteristics of those individuals, and estimates the total number of full-time equivalents (FTEs), as well as the total number of individuals needed to staff those FTEs. The study appears in the July 2002 issue of the Annals of Emergency Medicine.

Client Area: Associations
Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

Projected Supply, Demand and Shortages of Registered Nurses: 2000-2020

July 2002

DHHS, HRSA, Bureau of Health Professions
Lewin contact: Paul Hogan

The Lewin Group assisted the National Center for Health Workforce Analysis to prepare supply and demand projections of registered nurses for the period 2000 through 2020. This report consists of three sections. The first presents the National Center’s projections of RN supply and demand, both national and State-specific, for the years 2000 through 2020. The second identifies and discusses the driving forces and trends underlying the projected supply; the third does the same for the projected demand.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

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