Aging and Disability

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Spotlight

Demographic and Service Need Projections for the Aging Population: 2020–2030 – A Projection Model for the Baby Boomers of San Mateo County

The Lewin Group developed a model for the Health Department in San Mateo County, California, that projects the socio-demographic characteristics, as well as the health, housing, and transportation service needs for its aging “baby boomer” population.

With 40 percent of the county’s baby boomers born in another country*, and uncertainty regarding migration patterns, future income, and disability rates, our micro simulation model allows the County to vary key assumptions as well as the information included in the output tables. The Lewin Group created core output reports providing information about:

  • Socio-demographic characteristics, including vulnerable populations
  • Housing cost burdens for renters and owners
  • Disability status
  • Health care provider and nursing home bed supply needs

*From The Lewin Group tabulations of the 2005 American Community Survey conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau.

The Lewin Group Center on Aging and Disability provides an array of services to a broad client base.

The Lewin Group Center on Aging and Disability brings together experts from across the firm to deliver timely information and advice for clients financing, managing and/or providing services to individuals with chronic conditions or disability, many of whom rely on long-term services and supports.

We apply rigorous analysis of local and national data to provide practical strategies and valuable insights for service delivery challenges (such as how to best prepare for greater demand for existing public programs) and to design, implement, and finance new programs.

Services

We provide nationally respected, policy-focused empirical research, hands-on technical assistance, and evaluation services.

Research

  • Conduct policy analysis of current program implementation and proposed changes
  • Utilize tested cost models to project service demand and financing
  • Develop evidence-based implementation manuals for community organizations and providers

Technical Assistance and Consulting

  • Develop strategic planning for the implementation of new initiatives
  • Perform environmental scans and gap analyses to help decision makers prioritize efforts
  • Build learning communities for peer-to-peer exchanges

Evaluation

  • Assess process and outcomes evaluation of major state and federal initiatives
  • Implement performance measurement tools to evaluate whether programs meet their goals
  • Incorporate social, political, and economic contexts in our evaluative work by actively partnering with stakeholders
Contact Us
Phone  703.269.5500
M–-F, 8:30–5:30 Eastern Time

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"Throughout the engagement, Lewin consultants listened to us and delivered superb analyses and thoughtful guidance–not canned solutions."  NONPROFIT HEALTH SYSTEM