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Projected Supply and Demand for Physicians: Conference Presentation

June 2004

Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce


Assessing the Effectiveness of Alternative Options to Address the Nursing Shortage: Conference Presentation

June 2004

Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce


Innovations in Health Workforce Modeling: Conference Presentation

June 2004

Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce


Changing Demographics and the Implications for Physicians, Nurses, and Other Health Workers: Conference Presentation

June 2004

Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce


The Nursing Shortage: Projecting the Adequacy of the Future Supply of RNs: Conference Presentation

June 2004

Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce


Changing Demographics: Implications for Physicians, Nurses, and Other Health Workers

April 2003

DHHS, Health Resources and Services Administration

This report, prepared by The Lewin Group for HRSA, analyzes the health workforce implications of a growing and aging population that is also becoming more racially and ethnically diversity. In addition to an extensive literature review, the report presents findings from The Physician Aggregate Requirements Model (PARM) quantifying the expected increase in percentage of physicians' time spent treating elderly and minority patients. These findings have implications for the types of work physicians will be providing in future years (e.g., relatively more cardiology and less pediatric work), and the increased importance of providing culturally competent care as minorities become a larger share of total patients. At the same time that the U.S. population is aging and demanding more healthcare services, the health workforce is aging with significant numbers of physicians and nurses nearing traditional retirement age. The aging population and other societal trends have implications for where patients will receive healthcare services--such as a greater reliance on professional nursing and less reliance on informal care provided by family members.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce


A Study of the Workforce in Emergency Medicine: 1999

July 2002

American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP)
Lewin contact: Paul Hogan

This study, commissioned by the American College of Emergency Physicians,  provides estimates of the total number of physicians practicing clinical emergency medicine during a specified period, describes certain characteristics of those individuals, and estimates the total number of full-time equivalents (FTEs), as well as the total number of individuals needed to staff those FTEs. The study appears in the July 2002 issue of the Annals of Emergency Medicine.

Client Area: Associations
Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce


Projected Supply, Demand and Shortages of Registered Nurses: 2000-2020

July 2002

DHHS, HRSA, Bureau of Health Professions
Lewin contact: Paul Hogan

The Lewin Group assisted the National Center for Health Workforce Analysis to prepare supply and demand projections of registered nurses for the period 2000 through 2020. This report consists of three sections. The first presents the National Center’s projections of RN supply and demand, both national and State-specific, for the years 2000 through 2020. The second identifies and discusses the driving forces and trends underlying the projected supply; the third does the same for the projected demand.

Client Area: Federal Government
Expertise Area: Health Professionals Workforce

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